Models
Anthropic
Task duration for 50% AI success chance

@METR_EvalsX · Apr 16, 2025

Task duration for 50% AI success chance

@METR_Evals's bar chart drew 30.4K views on X: 0.3x @metr_evals's median post and #641 of 1,162 AI chart posts we hold by views. Read Oct 12, 2026.

Task duration where we predict 50% chance of AI success

XData Bar chart Claude 3 All Anthropic models Claude 3.7 Sonnet GPT-4o o1 o4-mini o3Claude 3.5 Sonnet (New)

@METR_Evals: Task duration for 50% AI success chance — Published by @METR_Evals on X, Apr 16, 2025. Source: x.com

31/ 100

ViralChart score

Quiet

Fewer views and a lower engagement rate than the median post.

#885 of 1,162 AI chart posts we hold · #5 of 5 @metr_evals posts. Score = views 40%, likes 30%, engagement rate 15%, save rate 15%, each as a percentile of every AI chart post we hold.

Our read

It sits in the Quiet quadrant, at #885 of 1,162 AI chart posts.

Its 0.26% engagement rate sits at the 7th percentile among AI chart posts, in the bottom decile.

At 30.4K views, the post runs 0.27x the 113K median for @METR_Evals posts.

A score of 31 places it at #885 of 1,162 AI chart posts.

0.3x@metr_evals's median post

30.4K views, where @metr_evals's typical post gets 113.1K.

bottom 7%engagement rate

0.26% of viewers liked, reposted, quoted or replied. The median post gets 0.73%.

bottom 21%save rate

0.040% of viewers bookmarked it to come back to. The median post gets 0.076%.

2posts from @metr_evals that day

Part of a run of 2 posts on Apr 16, 2025. This one was #2 of 2 by views that day.

Public X numbers from our read on Oct 12, 2026. Peers: 1,162 AI chart posts we hold and 5 from @metr_evals.

Where it sits

Reach against resonance

Each dot is a post. Right is more views, up is a higher engagement rate. The lines are the medians, so the four corners are the four kinds of post.

Among 1,162 AI chart posts we hold

Score #885 of 1,162

Views	30.4K	#641	bottom 45%
Likes	68	#817	bottom 30%
Engagement rate	0.26%	#1,076	bottom 7%
Save rate	0.040%	#922	bottom 21%

Among 5 @metr_evals posts

Score #5 of 5

Views	30.4K	#5	bottom 10%
Likes	68	#5	bottom 10%
Engagement rate	0.26%	#3	top 50%
Save rate	0.040%	#4	bottom 30%

Growth

One read so far

Views30.4K

Age at our read544 days

Views per day of life56views divided by days since it was posted

Dots are our reads. The dotted line from the day it was posted to our first read is a gap, not data.

@metr_evals's posts over time

Every post from this account we hold, by date and views. This one is marked; the line is the running median of the last 10.

News · Apr 16, 2025

@METR_Evals posts bar chart on AI task duration

A single bar chart on task duration for 50% AI success chance drew 30.4K views and a 0.26% engagement rate.

What happened

@METR_Evals posted one bar chart on April 16, 2025, on task duration for 50% AI success chance. The account posted 2 posts that day, including one on AI model task time horizons trend.

The numbers

It reached 30.4K views, #641 of 1,162 AI chart posts, and scored #885 of 1,162 AI chart posts. Among @METR_Evals posts it ranks #5 of 5 by score and by views.

The lesson

At 0.26%, engagement lands in the bottom decile while the 113K median for @METR_Evals posts sits far above. A 6-model bar chart at 0.040% save rate shows saves stayed low against that median.

What it means

At #5 of 5 @METR_Evals posts, this chart trails the account's own 113K median by 0.27x. The 30.4K views sit below the 39.9K median among AI chart posts.

Written by ViralChart from public numbers read on Oct 12, 2026. Every number is checked against our data before it is shown.

Updates: what @metr_evals posted next

Data and API

6 points read off this chart

Estimated from the image 72%

Group	Value	Read
Claude Sonnet 3.5	0.25 hours	estimated
Claude Sonnet 3.7	1 hours	estimated
GPT-4o	0.1 hours	estimated
o1	0.5 hours	estimated
o4-mini	1.5 hours	estimated
o3	1.6 hours	estimated

Max plan · API

GET https://viral-chart.com/api/posts/c7be3545f7d5.json
GET https://viral-chart.com/api/charts/c7be3545f7d5.json
GET https://viral-chart.com/api/charts/c7be3545f7d5.skill.md

Make one like this Open the post JSON Chart data JSON Skill file API docs

Static files in this prototype. The post JSON holds the public numbers, ranks, score, quadrant, our reads and, when checked, our copy.

API · Max

Use this chart via API

On the Max plan you can pull this chart's numbers with the provenance of each one, as JSON or CSV, with its redraw spec, or call it from an agent over MCP. Chart id c7be3545f7d5.

See the Max plan API docs

	Path	Returns	Plan
GET	`/api/v1/charts/c7be3545f7d5`	Title, publisher, date, form, point count; with a Max key, the data link	Open
GET	`/api/v1/charts/c7be3545f7d5/data`	Every point with its provenance and confidence, plus the redraw spec. Add ?format=csv for CSV	Max
GET	`/api/v1/charts/c7be3545f7d5/render?view=1`	The draw-only view this page uses	Open
POST	`/mcp`	Tool get_chart_data with this id, for Claude, Cursor and other agents	Max

curlMax

curl -s https://viral-chart.com/api/v1/charts/c7be3545f7d5/data \
  -H "Authorization: Bearer $VIRALCHART_KEY"

Claude CodeMax

claude mcp add --transport http viralchart https://viral-chart.com/mcp \
  --header "Authorization: Bearer $VIRALCHART_KEY"

60 requests a minute per key; over that you get 429 with Retry-After. Up to 5 keys per account, made on your account page and shown once. Without Max, the data route answers 402 with a link to the plans. The numbers describe a chart its publisher owns, and every file carries a license note.