AI model time horizons
METR's scatter plot drew 72.4K views on X: 0.6x @metr_evals's median post and #451 of 1,162 AI chart posts we hold by views. Read Oct 10, 2026.
In measurements using our set of multi-step software and reasoning tasks, Claude 4 Opus and Sonnet reach 50%-time-horizon point estimates of about 80 and 65 minutes, respectively.
Why it spread
The post spread because it put two concrete measured numbers, about 80 and 65 minutes, on a hot topic that week, and it drew many quotes even though its 272 likes were below the account's typical 523.
What worked
- It leads with a plain sentence that names the models and gives the two time-horizon estimates, about 80 and 65 minutes, so the finding is clear without opening the chart.
- It uses a scatter chart to show exponential growth in time horizon, a form that fits a trend over models and stays easy to read.
- It is branded and shows a source line, and it landed in the top quarter for both source reach and quote rate, which helped it travel beyond the account's usual audience.
What to borrow
We could frame our own chart the same way: one sentence that states the measured result in plain units, then a scatter that shows the trend, with our brand and a source line attached.
Careful
Do not read the 272 likes as strong approval, since that is below the account's typical 523, and do not treat the quote rate as agreement because many quotes can also mean dispute.
Written by our analysis model from the measured numbers above, not by METR.
Make it yours
Your numbers, the bar chart way.
Starts from the real numbers of "Claude 4 Opus has a 50%-time-horizon of 80 minutes" by METR. Replace every number with yours before you post. Make one like this, step by step
Free pictures carry a small "Made with ViralChart" line. That line is how other people find us.
API · Max
Use this chart via API
On the Max plan you can pull this chart's numbers with the provenance of each one, as JSON or CSV, with its redraw spec, or call it from an agent over MCP. Chart id f7ab8c6889e0.
| Path | Returns | Plan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GET | /api/v1/charts/f7ab8c6889e0 | Title, publisher, date, form, point count; with a Max key, the data link | Open |
| GET | /api/v1/charts/f7ab8c6889e0/data | Every point with its provenance and confidence, plus the redraw spec. Add ?format=csv for CSV | Max |
| GET | /api/v1/charts/f7ab8c6889e0/render?view=1 | The draw-only view this page uses | Open |
| POST | /mcp | Tool get_chart_data with this id, for Claude, Cursor and other agents | Max |
curl -s https://viral-chart.com/api/v1/charts/f7ab8c6889e0/data \
-H "Authorization: Bearer $VIRALCHART_KEY"claude mcp add --transport http viralchart https://viral-chart.com/mcp \
--header "Authorization: Bearer $VIRALCHART_KEY"60 requests a minute per key; over that you get 429 with Retry-After. Up to 5 keys per account, made on your account page and shown once. Without Max, the data route answers 402 with a link to the plans. The numbers describe a chart its publisher owns, and every file carries a license note.
More from METR
All 26
Other giants using a scatter plot
All 78
Questions people ask
How far did METR's "AI model time horizons" chart travel?
72,367 views, 272 likes, 34 reposts and 78 saves on X, read Oct 10, 2026. A normal post from @METR_Evals gets about 153K views.
What kind of chart is it?
A scatter plot. AI models show exponential growth in time horizon.
Can I use METR's chart?
Use the format, not the picture. The chart, logo and design belong to METR. ViralChart redraws the chart type with your numbers and words, and credits the original publisher.