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Clouded Judgement (Jamin Ball)Table chart · 126 points · Clouded Judgement (Jamin Ball)

SaaS valuation metrics

The numbers behind a chart Clouded Judgement (Jamin Ball) published, redrawn natively. Check the original, study the data, then make your own.

Estimated from the image 56%All chart data
Chart by Clouded Judgement (Jamin Ball). Source: x.com

Simplified redraw

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A simplified redraw: it shows the numbers in our own look, not the look of the original. One accent marks what the chart is about. Values marked with ~ in the table are estimates.

The numbers

First 10 of 126 points are free
GroupSeriesValueSourceConf.
PalantirRank~1Estimate0.50
PalantirEV / Rev70.2Estimate0.97
PalantirEV / FCF150Estimate0.97
PalantirLTM Growth25Estimate0.97
PalantirNTM Growth25Estimate0.97
PalantirGross Margin80Estimate0.97
PalantirLTM FCF Margin40Estimate0.97
PalantirYTD Price Δ34Estimate0.97
Palantir% in Top 10100Estimate0.97
CloudflareRank~2Estimate0.50

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CloudflareEV / Rev~24.9Estimate0.30
CrowdStrikeRank~3Estimate0.50
CrowdStrikeEV / Rev~21.5Estimate0.30
CrowdStrikeEV / FCF~71Estimate0.30
CrowdStrikeLTM Growth~29Estimate0.30
CrowdStrikeNTM Growth~31Estimate0.30
CrowdStrikeGross Margin~75Estimate0.30
CrowdStrikeLTM FCF Margin~10Estimate0.30
CrowdStrikeYTD Price Δ~41Estimate0.30
CrowdStrike% in Top 10100Estimate0.97
SamsaraRank~4Estimate0.50
SamsaraEV / Rev~20Estimate0.30
SamsaraEV / FCF~180Estimate0.30
SamsaraLTM Growth~39Estimate0.30
SamsaraNTM Growth~20Estimate0.30
SamsaraGross Margin~77Estimate0.30
SamsaraLTM FCF Margin~30Estimate0.30
SamsaraYTD Price Δ~19Estimate0.30
Samsara% in Top 10100Estimate0.97
ServiceNowRank~6Estimate0.50
ServiceNowEV / Rev~14.6Estimate0.30
ServiceNowEV / FCF~46Estimate0.30
ServiceNowLTM Growth~22Estimate0.30
ServiceNowNTM Growth~13Estimate0.30
ServiceNowGross Margin79Estimate0.97
ServiceNowLTM FCF Margin~31Estimate0.30
ServiceNowYTD Price Δ-11Estimate0.97
ServiceNow% in Top 10100Estimate0.97
SnowflakeRank~7Estimate0.50
SnowflakeEV / Rev~13.7Estimate0.30
SnowflakeEV / FCF~50Estimate0.30
SnowflakeLTM Growth~30Estimate0.30
SnowflakeNTM Growth22Estimate0.97
SnowflakeGross Margin~67Estimate0.30
SnowflakeLTM FCF Margin~23Estimate0.30
SnowflakeYTD Price Δ~15Estimate0.30
Snowflake% in Top 10~72Estimate0.30
ShopifyRank~8Estimate0.50
ShopifyEV / Rev~13.1Estimate0.30
ShopifyEV / FCF44Estimate0.97
ShopifyLTM Growth~26Estimate0.30
ShopifyNTM Growth~24Estimate0.30
ShopifyGross Margin~50Estimate0.30
ShopifyLTM FCF Margin~18Estimate0.30
ShopifyYTD Price Δ~8Estimate0.30
Shopify% in Top 10~29Estimate0.30
AtlassianRank~9Estimate0.50
AtlassianEV / Rev~13Estimate0.30
AtlassianEV / FCF~44Estimate0.30
AtlassianLTM Growth~23Estimate0.30
AtlassianNTM Growth~18Estimate0.30
AtlassianGross Margin~82Estimate0.30
AtlassianLTM FCF Margin~29Estimate0.30
AtlassianYTD Price Δ~18Estimate0.30
Atlassian% in Top 10~19Estimate0.30
HubSpotRank~10Estimate0.50
HubSpotEV / FCF~65Estimate0.30
HubSpotLTM Growth~21Estimate0.30
HubSpotNTM Growth~14Estimate0.30
HubSpotGross Margin~85Estimate0.30
HubSpotLTM FCF Margin~18Estimate0.30
HubSpotYTD Price Δ~4Estimate0.30
HubSpot% in Top 10~43Estimate0.30
Top 10 AverageEV / Rev21.7Estimate0.97
Top 10 AverageEV / FCF97Estimate0.97
Top 10 AverageLTM Growth26Estimate0.97
Top 10 AverageNTM Growth21Estimate0.97
Top 10 AverageGross Margin73Estimate0.97
Top 10 AverageLTM FCF Margin22Estimate0.97
Top 10 AverageYTD Price Δ17Estimate0.97
Top 10 Average% in Top 1070Estimate0.97
Top 10 MedianEV / Rev14.2Estimate0.97
Top 10 MedianEV / FCF70Estimate0.97
Top 10 MedianLTM Growth25Estimate0.97
Top 10 MedianNTM Growth21Estimate0.97
Top 10 MedianGross Margin76Estimate0.97
Top 10 MedianLTM FCF Margin21Estimate0.97
Top 10 MedianYTD Price Δ18Estimate0.97
Top 10 Median% in Top 1086Estimate0.97
Overall MedianEV / Rev5.9Estimate0.97
Overall MedianEV / FCF33Estimate0.97
Overall MedianLTM Growth16Estimate0.97
Overall MedianNTM Growth12Estimate0.97
Overall MedianGross Margin76Estimate0.97
Overall MedianLTM FCF Margin15Estimate0.97
Overall MedianYTD Price Δ4Estimate0.97
PalantirCompany~0Estimate0.50
CloudflareCompany~0Estimate0.50
CrowdStrikeCompany~0Estimate0.50
SamsaraCompany~0Estimate0.50
ServiceNowCompany~0Estimate0.50
GuidewireCompany~0Estimate0.50
SnowflakeCompany~0Estimate0.50
ShopifyCompany~0Estimate0.50
AtlassianCompany~0Estimate0.50
HubSpotCompany~0Estimate0.50
Top 10 AverageCompany~0Estimate0.50
Top 10 MedianCompany~0Estimate0.50
Overall MedianCompany~0Estimate0.50
GuidewireEV / Rev NTM~13Estimate0.50
HubSpotEV / Rev NTM~21.7Estimate0.50
CloudflareEV / FCF NTM~223Estimate0.50
GuidewireEV / FCF NTM~50Estimate0.50
CloudflareLTM Growth~31Estimate0.50
GuidewireLTM Growth~30Estimate0.50
CloudflareNTM Growth~20Estimate0.50
GuidewireNTM Growth~24Estimate0.50
CloudflareGross Margin~77Estimate0.50
GuidewireGross Margin~67Estimate0.50
CloudflareLTM FCF Margin~30Estimate0.50
GuidewireLTM FCF Margin~23Estimate0.50
CloudflareYTD Price Δ~41Estimate0.50
GuidewireYTD Price Δ~15Estimate0.50
Cloudflare% in Top 10 Over LTM~100Estimate0.50
Guidewire% in Top 10 Over LTM~40Estimate0.50
Overall Median% in Top 10 Over LTM~86Estimate0.50
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GET/api/v1/charts/d3f70c1576daTitle, publisher, date, form, point count; with a Max key, the data linkOpen
GET/api/v1/charts/d3f70c1576da/dataEvery point with its provenance and confidence, plus the redraw spec. Add ?format=csv for CSVMax
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POST/mcpTool get_chart_data with this id, for Claude, Cursor and other agentsMax
curlMax
curl -s https://viral-chart.com/api/v1/charts/d3f70c1576da/data \
  -H "Authorization: Bearer $VIRALCHART_KEY"
Claude CodeMax
claude mcp add --transport http viralchart https://viral-chart.com/mcp \
  --header "Authorization: Bearer $VIRALCHART_KEY"

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More data from Clouded Judgement (Jamin Ball)

All chart data
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Questions people ask

How accurate are these numbers?

They are estimated from the image by two independent passes, with confidence 0.56 on a 0 to 1 scale. Printed numbers read well; values read off an axis can be a few percent off.

Can I reuse this data?

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How do I get the file?

The JSON, CSV and agent skill file are under the email gate on this page. In this prototype they are static files at /api/charts/d3f70c1576da.json and /api/charts/d3f70c1576da.skill.md.