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  2. The price of artificial thought may have fallen faster than
Epoch AILine chart · 69 points · Epoch AI

The price of artificial thought may have fallen faster than for any other transformative technology in history

The numbers behind a chart Epoch AI published, redrawn natively. Check the original, study the data, then make your own.

Estimated from the image 37%All chart data
Chart by Epoch AI. Source: x.com

Simplified redraw

Drawn by us from the numbers below. Hover, tap or use the arrow keys.

A simplified redraw: it shows the numbers in our own look, not the look of the original. One accent marks what the chart is about. Values marked with ~ in the table are estimates.

The numbers

First 10 of 69 points are free
GroupSeriesxValue (x)SourceConf.
0Electricity 1892-19730~10Estimate0.30
10Electricity 1892-197310~51Estimate0.80
20Electricity 1892-197320~101.5Estimate0.80
30Electricity 1892-197330~152Estimate0.80
40Electricity 1892-197340~202.5Estimate0.80
50Electricity 1892-197350~253Estimate0.80
60Electricity 1892-197360~600Estimate0.30
70Electricity 1892-197370~700Estimate0.30
80Electricity 1892-197380~800Estimate0.30
0Lithium batteries 1991-20240~10Estimate0.30

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The full table, the JSON, a CSV and the agent skill file for this chart. These are Max in the plan; while this is a prototype your email unlocks them.

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10Lithium batteries 1991-202410~51Estimate0.80
20Lithium batteries 1991-202420~101.5Estimate0.80
30Lithium batteries 1991-202430~152Estimate0.80
0AI 2021-260~10Estimate0.30
1AI 2021-261~100Estimate0.30
2AI 2021-262~1000Estimate0.30
3AI 2021-263~10000Estimate0.30
4AI 2021-264~100000Estimate0.30
5AI 2021-265~1000000Estimate0.30
0DNA sequencing 2001-220~10Estimate0.30
2DNA sequencing 2001-222~100Estimate0.30
4DNA sequencing 2001-224~1000Estimate0.30
6DNA sequencing 2001-226~10000Estimate0.30
8DNA sequencing 2001-228~100000Estimate0.30
10DNA sequencing 2001-2210~1000000Estimate0.30
12DNA sequencing 2001-2212~10000000Estimate0.30
14DNA sequencing 2001-2214~100000000Estimate0.30
16DNA sequencing 2001-2216~1000000000Estimate0.30
18DNA sequencing 2001-2218~10000000000Estimate0.30
20DNA sequencing 2001-2220~100000000000Estimate0.30
0Compute 1940-20010~10Estimate0.30
5Compute 1940-20015~100Estimate0.30
10Compute 1940-200110~501Estimate0.80
15Compute 1940-200115~10000Estimate0.30
20Compute 1940-200120~50001.5Estimate0.80
25Compute 1940-200125~1000000Estimate0.30
30Compute 1940-200130~10000000Estimate0.30
35Compute 1940-200135~100000000Estimate0.30
40Compute 1940-200140~1000000000Estimate0.30
45Compute 1940-200145~10000000000Estimate0.30
50Compute 1940-200150~100000000000Estimate0.30
55Compute 1940-200155~1000000000000Estimate0.30
90Electricity 1892-197390~10Estimate0.30
40Lithium batteries 1991-202440~5Estimate0.30
50Lithium batteries 1991-202450~6Estimate0.30
60Lithium batteries 1991-202460~7Estimate0.30
70Lithium batteries 1991-202470~8Estimate0.30
80Lithium batteries 1991-202480~9Estimate0.30
90Lithium batteries 1991-202490~10Estimate0.30
10AI 2021-2610~2Estimate0.30
20AI 2021-2620~3Estimate0.30
30AI 2021-2630~4Estimate0.30
40AI 2021-2640~5Estimate0.30
50AI 2021-2650~6Estimate0.30
60AI 2021-2660~7Estimate0.30
70AI 2021-2670~8Estimate0.30
80AI 2021-2680~9Estimate0.30
90AI 2021-2690~10Estimate0.30
30DNA sequencing 2001-2230~4Estimate0.30
40DNA sequencing 2001-2240~5Estimate0.30
50DNA sequencing 2001-2250~6Estimate0.30
60DNA sequencing 2001-2260~7Estimate0.30
70DNA sequencing 2001-2270~8Estimate0.30
80DNA sequencing 2001-2280~9Estimate0.30
90DNA sequencing 2001-2290~10Estimate0.30
60Compute 1940-200160~7Estimate0.30
70Compute 1940-200170~8Estimate0.30
80Compute 1940-200180~9Estimate0.30
90Compute 1940-200190~10Estimate0.30
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Use this chart via API

On the Max plan you can pull this chart's numbers with the provenance of each one, as JSON or CSV, with its redraw spec, or call it from an agent over MCP. Chart id b19a569d1e2f.

Approximate values. Our two readings of this chart agreed only in part (confidence 0.37 of 1), so check the original before you quote a number. The API marks it lowConfidence, and ?min_confidence=0.5 leaves it out.

PathReturnsPlan
GET/api/v1/charts/b19a569d1e2fTitle, publisher, date, form, point count; with a Max key, the data linkOpen
GET/api/v1/charts/b19a569d1e2f/dataEvery point with its provenance and confidence, plus the redraw spec. Add ?format=csv for CSVMax
GET/api/v1/charts/b19a569d1e2f/render?view=1The draw-only view this page usesOpen
POST/mcpTool get_chart_data with this id, for Claude, Cursor and other agentsMax
curlMax
curl -s https://viral-chart.com/api/v1/charts/b19a569d1e2f/data \
  -H "Authorization: Bearer $VIRALCHART_KEY"
Claude CodeMax
claude mcp add --transport http viralchart https://viral-chart.com/mcp \
  --header "Authorization: Bearer $VIRALCHART_KEY"

60 requests a minute per key; over that you get 429 with Retry-After. Up to 5 keys per account, made on your account page and shown once. Without Max, the data route answers 402 with a link to the plans. The numbers describe a chart its publisher owns, and every file carries a license note.

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Questions people ask

How accurate are these numbers?

They are estimated from the image by two independent passes, with confidence 0.37 on a 0 to 1 scale. Printed numbers read well; values read off an axis can be a few percent off.

Can I reuse this data?

The numbers describe a chart that Epoch AI published. The image, layout and styling belong to them. Use the numbers with a credit to the publisher, and make your picture from your own data.

How do I get the file?

The JSON, CSV and agent skill file are under the email gate on this page. In this prototype they are static files at /api/charts/b19a569d1e2f.json and /api/charts/b19a569d1e2f.skill.md.