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  2. Federal Spending - DOGE Balanced (Assuming 2019 @ 2.5% CAGR)
Altimeter CapitalTable chart · 82 points · Altimeter Capital

Federal Spending - DOGE Balanced (Assuming 2019 @ 2.5% CAGR)

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Chart by Altimeter Capital. Source: x.com

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First 10 of 82 points are free
GroupSeriesValue ($B)SourceConf.
Total SpendingFY19 (Actual)4447Estimate0.97
Total SpendingFY24 (Estimate)6752Estimate0.97
Total SpendingFY24 (Baseline)5031Estimate0.97
Total SpendingDelta to Baseline1721Estimate0.97
Total Spending%~34Estimate0.50
As % of GDPFY19 (Actual)21Estimate0.97
As % of GDPFY24 (Estimate)24Estimate0.97
As % of GDPFY24 (Baseline)18Estimate0.97
Mandatory SpendingFY19 (Actual)2735Estimate0.97
Mandatory SpendingFY24 (Estimate)4014Estimate0.97

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Mandatory SpendingFY24 (Baseline)3094Estimate0.97
Mandatory SpendingDelta to Baseline920Estimate0.97
Mandatory Spending%~30Estimate0.50
Medicare (health for elderly)FY19 (Actual)~1038Estimate0.30
Medicare (health for elderly)FY24 (Estimate)870Estimate0.97
Medicare (health for elderly)FY24 (Baseline)729Estimate0.97
Medicare (health for elderly)Delta to Baseline141Estimate0.97
Medicare (health for elderly)%~19Estimate0.50
Medicaid (health for poor)FY19 (Actual)409Estimate0.97
Medicaid (health for poor)FY24 (Estimate)618Estimate0.97
Medicaid (health for poor)FY24 (Baseline)463Estimate0.97
Medicaid (health for poor)Delta to Baseline155Estimate0.97
Medicaid (health for poor)%~34Estimate0.50
Social SecurityFY19 (Actual)~1002Estimate0.30
Social SecurityFY24 (Estimate)1448Estimate0.97
Social SecurityFY24 (Baseline)1174Estimate0.97
Social SecurityDelta to Baseline274Estimate0.97
Social Security%~23Estimate0.50
Unemployment & welfareFY19 (Actual)302Estimate0.97
Unemployment & welfareFY24 (Estimate)551Estimate0.97
Unemployment & welfareFY24 (Baseline)342Estimate0.97
Unemployment & welfareDelta to Baseline209Estimate0.97
Unemployment & welfare%~61Estimate0.50
Federal pensions, student loans, agricultureFY19 (Actual)342Estimate0.97
Federal pensions, student loans, agricultureFY24 (Estimate)527Estimate0.97
Federal pensions, student loans, agricultureFY24 (Baseline)387Estimate0.97
Federal pensions, student loans, agricultureDelta to Baseline140Estimate0.97
Federal pensions, student loans, agriculture%~36Estimate0.50
Discretionary SpendingFY19 (Actual)1337Estimate0.97
Discretionary SpendingFY24 (Estimate)1789Estimate0.97
Discretionary SpendingFY24 (Baseline)1513Estimate0.97
Discretionary SpendingDelta to Baseline276Estimate0.97
Discretionary Spending%~18Estimate0.50
DefenseFY19 (Actual)676Estimate0.97
DefenseFY24 (Estimate)826Estimate0.97
DefenseFY24 (Baseline)765Estimate0.97
DefenseDelta to Baseline61Estimate0.97
Defense%~8Estimate0.50
Education, housing, transportationFY19 (Actual)661Estimate0.97
Education, housing, transportationFY24 (Estimate)963Estimate0.97
Education, housing, transportationFY24 (Baseline)748Estimate0.97
Education, housing, transportationDelta to Baseline215Estimate0.97
Education, housing, transportation%~29Estimate0.50
Net InterestFY19 (Actual)375Estimate0.97
Net InterestFY24 (Estimate)949Estimate0.97
Net InterestFY24 (Baseline)424Estimate0.97
Net InterestDelta to Baseline525Estimate0.97
Net Interest%~124Estimate0.50
Total SpendingSpending Category~4447Estimate0.50
As % of GDPSpending Category~21Estimate0.50
Mandatory SpendingSpending Category~2735Estimate0.50
Social SecuritySpending Category~1038Estimate0.50
Medicare (health for elderly)Spending Category~644Estimate0.50
Medicaid (health for poor)Spending Category~409Estimate0.50
Unemployment & welfareSpending Category~302Estimate0.50
Federal pensions, student loans, agricultureSpending Category~342Estimate0.50
Discretionary SpendingSpending Category~1337Estimate0.50
DefenseSpending Category~676Estimate0.50
Education, housing, transportationSpending Category~661Estimate0.50
Net InterestSpending Category~375Estimate0.50
As % of GDPDelta to Baseline~6Estimate0.50
Total Spending%~34Estimate0.50
Mandatory Spending%~30Estimate0.50
Social Security%~23Estimate0.50
Medicare (health for elderly)%~19Estimate0.50
Medicaid (health for poor)%~34Estimate0.50
Unemployment & welfare%~61Estimate0.50
Federal pensions, student loans, agriculture%~36Estimate0.50
Discretionary Spending%~18Estimate0.50
Defense%~8Estimate0.50
Education, housing, transportation%~29Estimate0.50
Net Interest%~124Estimate0.50
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curlMax
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