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Coding-agent spending by OpenAI researchers is doubling roug

Epoch AILine chart · 81 points · Epoch AI

Coding-agent spending by OpenAI researchers is doubling roughly every month

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Estimated from the image 64%All chart data

Chart by Epoch AI: Coding-agent spending by OpenAI researchers is doubling roughly every month — Chart by Epoch AI. Source: x.com

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The numbers

First 10 of 81 points are free

Group	Series	Value (USD)	Source	Conf.
Median	Jan 2026	~0.2	Estimate	0.80
Median	Jan 2026	~0.3	Estimate	0.80
Median	Jan 2026	~0.5	Estimate	0.80
Median	Jan 2026	~0.4	Estimate	0.80
Median	Feb 2026	~1.5	Estimate	0.80
Median	Feb 2026	~2	Estimate	0.80
Median	Feb 2026	~1	Estimate	0.80
Median	Feb 2026	~2.75	Estimate	0.80
Median	Mar 2026	~6.5	Estimate	0.80
Median	Mar 2026	~8	Estimate	0.80

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Median	Mar 2026	~10	Estimate	0.80
Median	Apr 2026	~20	Estimate	0.80
Median	May 2026	~30	Estimate	0.80
Median	May 2026	~40	Estimate	0.80
Median	May 2026	~50	Estimate	0.80
Median	Jun 2026	~60	Estimate	0.80
Median	Jun 2026	~75	Estimate	0.65
Median	Jun 2026	~80	Estimate	0.30
Median	Jul 2026	~100	Estimate	0.30
Median	Jul 2026	~120	Estimate	0.30
Median	Jul 2026	~150	Estimate	0.30
Median	Aug 2026	~200	Estimate	0.30
Median	Aug 2026	~250	Estimate	0.30
Median	Aug 2026	~300	Estimate	0.30
90th percentile	Jan 2026	~2	Estimate	0.80
90th percentile	Jan 2026	~10	Estimate	0.80
90th percentile	Jan 2026	~20	Estimate	0.80
90th percentile	Jan 2026	~30	Estimate	0.80
90th percentile	Feb 2026	~40	Estimate	0.80
90th percentile	Feb 2026	~50	Estimate	0.80
90th percentile	Feb 2026	~60	Estimate	0.80
90th percentile	Feb 2026	~70	Estimate	0.80
90th percentile	Mar 2026	~80	Estimate	0.80
90th percentile	Mar 2026	~100	Estimate	0.80
90th percentile	Mar 2026	~150	Estimate	0.80
90th percentile	Mar 2026	~200	Estimate	0.80
90th percentile	Apr 2026	~250	Estimate	0.80
90th percentile	Apr 2026	~300	Estimate	0.80
90th percentile	May 2026	~400	Estimate	0.80
90th percentile	May 2026	~500	Estimate	0.80
90th percentile	May 2026	~600	Estimate	0.80
90th percentile	Jun 2026	~700	Estimate	0.80
90th percentile	Jun 2026	~1000	Estimate	0.80
90th percentile	Jul 2026	~1500	Estimate	0.80
90th percentile	Jul 2026	~2000	Estimate	0.80
90th percentile	Aug 2026	~3000	Estimate	0.80
90th percentile	Aug 2026	~4000	Estimate	0.80
90th percentile	Aug 2026	~5000	Estimate	0.30
Fitted trend	Jan 2026	~0.2	Estimate	0.80
Fitted trend	Jan 2026	~0.5	Estimate	0.80
Fitted trend	Feb 2026	~1	Estimate	0.80
Fitted trend	Feb 2026	~2	Estimate	0.80
Fitted trend	Mar 2026	~4	Estimate	0.80
Fitted trend	Mar 2026	~8	Estimate	0.80
Fitted trend	Apr 2026	~15	Estimate	0.80
Fitted trend	Apr 2026	~30	Estimate	0.80
Fitted trend	Feb 2026	~1.75	Estimate	0.80
Fitted trend	Mar 2026	~5.5	Estimate	0.80
Fitted trend	Mar 2026	~10	Estimate	0.80
Fitted trend	Apr 2026	~20	Estimate	0.80
Fitted trend	May 2026	~40	Estimate	0.80
Fitted trend	May 2026	~80	Estimate	0.80
Fitted trend	Jun 2026	~150	Estimate	0.80
Fitted trend	Jul 2026	~300	Estimate	0.80
Median	Mar 2026	~4	Estimate	0.30
Median	Apr 2026	~15	Estimate	0.30
Median	Apr 2026	~25	Estimate	0.30
90th percentile	Apr 2026	~350	Estimate	0.30
90th percentile	Jun 2026	~800	Estimate	0.30
90th percentile	Jul 2026	~1200	Estimate	0.30
Fitted trend	Jan 2026	~0.3	Estimate	0.30
Fitted trend	Jan 2026	~0.7	Estimate	0.30
Fitted trend	Feb 2026	~3	Estimate	0.30
Fitted trend	May 2026	~60	Estimate	0.30
Fitted trend	Jun 2026	~100	Estimate	0.30
Fitted trend	Jun 2026	~200	Estimate	0.30
Fitted trend	Jul 2026	~400	Estimate	0.30
Fitted trend	Jul 2026	~600	Estimate	0.30
Fitted trend	Aug 2026	~800	Estimate	0.30
Fitted trend	Aug 2026	~1200	Estimate	0.30
Fitted trend	Aug 2026	~1800	Estimate	0.30

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Coding-agent spending by OpenAI researchers is doubling roughly every month

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