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- 2025 Full Year Guide vs Pre-Earnings Consensus
2025 Full Year Guide vs Pre-Earnings Consensus
Clouded Judgement (Jamin Ball)'s bar chart drew 14K views on X: 1.4x its typical post and #49 of 65 Clouded Judgement (Jamin Ball) charts we track by views. Read Oct 10, 2026.
Full year guides for software companies (so far) haven't signaled a lot of confidence. The median full year guide is only 0.1% above full year consensus estimates, with nearly half of companies guiding full year below consensus estimates.
Why it spread
The post spread because it hit a hot topic that week and drew many quotes, with 66 likes, 10 reposts, 2 quotes, 29 saves, and 13,996 views, which is 2.4x the account's typical likes of 27.
What worked
- The post text framed a clear, surprising finding: the median full year guide is only 0.1% above full year consensus estimates, and nearly half of companies guided below consensus.
- The chart type is a bar chart showing guide estimates versus pre-earnings consensus across companies, which makes the comparison easy to grasp.
- The post is branded and shows a source line, which adds credibility even though design polish is low and self labelling is medium.
What to borrow
We could use the same form by taking a timely topic, comparing our own guide estimates against consensus in a simple bar chart, and stating the median gap and the share of companies below consensus in plain words.
Careful
Do not over-read the spread as proof of high design quality, since design polish is low and the source reach is in the bottom quarter; also do not copy the exact numbers or treat the quote rate as a guarantee of future performance.
Written by our analysis model from the measured numbers above, not by Clouded Judgement (Jamin Ball).
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API · Max
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On the Max plan you can pull this chart's numbers with the provenance of each one, as JSON or CSV, with its redraw spec, or call it from an agent over MCP. Chart id de00391462f0.
| Path | Returns | Plan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GET | /api/v1/charts/de00391462f0 | Title, publisher, date, form, point count; with a Max key, the data link | Open |
| GET | /api/v1/charts/de00391462f0/data | Every point with its provenance and confidence, plus the redraw spec. Add ?format=csv for CSV | Max |
| GET | /api/v1/charts/de00391462f0/render?view=1 | The draw-only view this page uses | Open |
| POST | /mcp | Tool get_chart_data with this id, for Claude, Cursor and other agents | Max |
curl -s https://viral-chart.com/api/v1/charts/de00391462f0/data \
-H "Authorization: Bearer $VIRALCHART_KEY"claude mcp add --transport http viralchart https://viral-chart.com/mcp \
--header "Authorization: Bearer $VIRALCHART_KEY"60 requests a minute per key; over that you get 429 with Retry-After. Up to 5 keys per account, made on your account page and shown once. Without Max, the data route answers 402 with a link to the plans. The numbers describe a chart its publisher owns, and every file carries a license note.
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Questions people ask
How far did Clouded Judgement (Jamin Ball)'s "2025 Full Year Guide vs Pre-Earnings Consensus" chart travel?
13,996 views, 66 likes, 10 reposts and 29 saves on X, read Oct 10, 2026. A normal post from @jaminball gets about 9.7K views.
What kind of chart is it?
A bar chart. Guide estimates versus pre-earnings consensus across companies.
Can I use Clouded Judgement (Jamin Ball)'s chart?
Use the format, not the picture. The chart, logo and design belong to Clouded Judgement (Jamin Ball). ViralChart redraws the chart type with your numbers and words, and credits the original publisher.